The Early Vote

Many Republicans are celebrating that they have done well in early voting this year. But just because many Republicans voted early does not mean the GOP is guaranteed to win. It depends on who those Republican voters are.

If they are the same voters who would normally vote on Election Day, Republicans haven’t gained anything. They just moved their votes from one day to another.

However, if they are “low propensity” or unlikely voters that the Trump campaign inspired to vote early, that would be a good sign. But there’s no way of knowing for sure.

Now, what is revealing is that Democrats are disappointed in their early vote totals. Early voting rates in some Georgia Democrat strongholds are below the state average.

Initial reports indicate that black voter turnout in North Carolina may be down as much as 10%. And the Democrat percentage of the early vote in Pennsylvania is down 10 points compared to 2020.

The situation is bad enough that Democrats are launching a last-minute ad blitz to boost turnout.