Poll Position

Multiple media outlets released their final pre-election polls over the last 48 hours. All showed an extremely close race. The consistency of the results seemed strange to data analyst Nate Silver.

So, he “ran the numbers” and found that the odds of so many polls falling within the same range are astronomical. In other words, Silver is concerned that the polling is off yet again.

Now, with that caveat in mind, here are the results of the 10 most recent nationwide polls going into Election Day.

NBC News                Trump 49% Harris 49%

New York Post          Trump 49% Harris 49%

TIPP                           Trump 49% Harris 48%

Emerson                    Trump 49% Harris 49%

ABC News                 Trump 46% Harris 49%

Atlas Intel                  Trump 50% Harris 48%

Yahoo News              Trump 48% Harris 49%

Morning Consult       Trump 47% Harris 49%

Forbes/Harris X        Trump 49% Harris 51%

Rasmussen               Trump 48% Harris 46%

Harris leads in four polls, Trump leads in three, and they are tied in three.

There was another bizarre result over the weekend from a state that wasn’t expected to be competitive. The final Des Moines Register poll found Harris up three points in Iowa. Four years ago, Trump won Iowa by eight points.

Has there really been an 11-point swing in the state? Not if you believe the results of the latest Emerson College poll, which found Trump leading by 10 points.

So, what’s the lesson from all of this? You can’t trust the polls.

The only poll that matters is the one that will take place tomorrow! 

VOTE! VOTE! VOTE!