Later In The Evening

As the night goes on and more polls close, we’ll be looking to the Midwest where Republicans must hold key Senate races in Ohio and Wisconsin.  Incumbent Senator Ron Johnson appears safe in Wisconsin, and J.D. Vance should win comfortably in Ohio.  I predict he will win by seven points!

We’ll also be watching key House races in Indiana’s First District, Michigan’s Third District and Ohio’s First District.  If the GOP sweeps all three, it will be evidence of a big Red wave that will hopefully carry other contests like the governor’s races in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin.

Swinging south, we’ll be watching to see if Republicans continue to make inroads with Hispanic voters in three Rio Grande Valley House seats – TX-15, TX-28 and TX-34. 

Moving west, we come to the toss-up Senate contests in Arizona and Nevada.  A strong Red wave will likely sweep Republicans Blake Masters and Adam Laxalt into the Senate, as well as Republicans Kari Lake, Joe Lombardo and Mark Ronchetti into the governor’s mansions in Arizona, Nevada and New Mexico. 

Of course, the results in Arizona largely depend on how the mess with malfunctioning machines in Maricopa County is resolved.

A significant Red wave may also save several Republican House seats that California Democrats targeted in redistricting, specifically CA-22, CA-27, CA-40, CA-41 and CA-45. 

And if there’s a Red tsunami, the GOP could win other contests like Senate seats in Colorado and Washington State, and the Oregon governor’s race.  We will also be watching in the days ahead to see whether Alaska sends pro-life conservatives Kelly Tshibaka to the Senate and Sarah Palin to the House of Representatives.