A November Warning

While the conventional wisdom suggests that Democrats have the momentum going into the final weeks of the 2022 midterm elections, the New York Times is warning liberals against putting too much faith in the polls as they tend to overstate Democrat strength. 

For example, polls predicted Joe Biden would win Florida by two points in 2020. He lost by three. An ABC News poll had Biden winning Wisconsin by 17 points. He barely won it by less than one point. 

There are various theories about why some polls have been so wrong. One explanation is that conservatives don’t trust media pollsters and they refuse to participate. As a result, the samples don’t reflect the actual electorate. 

I think there’s something else at work. Polls continue to underestimate the turnout in rural areas, where conservatives like Donald Trump and Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin often overperform.

There’s also a warning for conservatives going forward. 

Many conservatives have serious concerns about the integrity of the last election.  But if they allow that to discourage them from voting, then it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy guaranteeing their own defeat.

No matter where you stand – left, right or center – we all have a civic responsibility to vote. It is a right guaranteed by the hard-won sacrifices of previous generations. Every legal citizen should vote in every election.

But you can’t vote unless you are registered to vote, and voter registration deadlines are fast approaching. 

Please, make sure you and all your friends and family members are registered to vote.