2024 Update

This week’s Morning Consult poll finds Donald Trump running away with the Republican presidential nomination. Trump (60%) currently has four times the support of closest competitor, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (15%). No other candidate received double digit support.

Meanwhile, the latest CNN poll has Democrats reaching for the Maalox. Joe Biden’s approval rating stands at just 39% -- down six points since January. 

Why is Biden’s approval rating collapsing? There are multiple reasons, including an epic collapse of support among blacks and Hispanics. 

But this response jumped out at me: 58% of Americans say Joe Biden’s policies are making a bad economy even worse.

Finally, Suffolk University and USA Today conducted a very interesting and unusual survey. For obvious reasons, most pollsters go to great lengths to survey likely voters and screen out those not likely to vote. 

Well, Suffolk University and USA Today did the opposite – they specifically surveyed unlikely voters to get a sense of the 2024 race among this large and often overlooked group of Americans. 

Maybe you know someone who falls into this category, someone who is frustrated with politics and has given up. Maybe that’s you!

Five years ago, Trump was losing this group of potential voters by nine points. Today, among registered voters who say they are unlikely to vote, Biden’s approval rating is a dismal 21%. And among this group, Trump leads Biden by 19 points -- 32% to 13%.

Here’s the bottom line: Most polls of likely voters show the 2024 presidential race is neck-and-neck. But if every conservative gets just one or two frustrated friends or family members to vote, Trump could potentially win in a landslide!