2024 Update

Several polls have been released in the wake of Trump’s fourth indictment and the first GOP presidential debate. The bottom line: Trump remains the clear frontrunner.

This week’s Morning Consult poll is unchanged from last week – Trump 58%, DeSantis 14% and Ramaswamy 10%. No other candidate received double digit support.

Meanwhile, a poll by the Atlanta Journal Constitution of Georgia GOP voters found Trump at 57%, followed by Ron DeSantis at 15%. Those figures represent a 22-point swing in Trump’s favor since the paper’s last survey in April.

The latest Emerson College national poll finds Trump leading Biden 46% to 44% in a head-to-head matchup. With Green Party candidate Cornel West in the mix, it’s Trump 44%, Biden 39% and West 4%.

A new McLaughlin poll finds Trump leading Biden 47% to 43% nationally. In key battleground states that will decide the election, Trump leads 49% to 41%.

Finally, in related news, the Wall Street Journal reports that West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin (D), rumored to be entertaining a possible third-party independent presidential bid, has been talking to major donors about raising $100 million to “mobilize the middle.”